Neighborhood Crime Forecasting: Application of Risk-Terrain Modeling in a Metropolitan County

Posted On January 3, 2018

CSLF Report, Publication No. 37, Jan. 3, 2018, Audrey Clubb, Dean Dabney and Joshua Hinkle
This report details the development of an analytic tool intended to help police and other government agencies in DeKalb County, Georgia, predict areas most likely to have crime problems in the future. The analytic tool is based on risk-terrain modeling, which uses a number of local area characteristics (such as demographics, foreclosures, and school performance) and previous crime trends to forecast areas at the highest risk of future crime.

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